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karynnj

(60,432 posts)
18. The problem is that Israel has its own intelligence and Iran knows what happened
Wed Jun 25, 2025, 10:22 AM
Jun 25

Israel's future actions and claims will be based on their intelligence. So, consider how they likely react to the scenario that everything was obliterated vs it's a three month set back. I think it would be different.

Under the former, the US and Israeli attacks between them, killed Iranian generals and scientists and damaged the facilities. Only time will tell if any of them were irreplaceable in their jobs. It may be that losing those people will have more impact than the physical damage.

However, we now enter a period where Iran, in all likelihood will work to restore their program and they could make the decision to go for a bomb. A year from now we could be in a worse place. If Israel thinks that after all the attacks, Iran is only 3 months further from getting a bomb than before how long will they wait before attacking agai

For Iran, the failure of 12 bunker bombs to do more damage than they did might be a victory for them creating the facility in the mountain. Though Iran was the weakest of the three countries, the regime likely will use the fact that they survived with their program "intact" to declare a victory. One thing of great pride to Iran is that they were never conquered or occupied. The pipe dreams of some of the Israeli media and neocons here that this results in regime change are just that.





Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I said a few days ago that he will continue johnnyfins Jun 25 #1
Perception is reality in his mind. NCDem47 Jun 25 #5
It's delusional Mossfern Jun 25 #6
Probably in the P.O.'ed sense as well EYESORE 9001 Jun 25 #17
Unfortunately, at this point he is not incorrect Cosmocat Jun 25 #7
He knows if he repeats the lie often enough a lot of people will believe it. Liberal In Texas Jun 25 #11
That's Rebl2 Jun 25 #19
Hard to know if they had a few centrifuges and 50# of 60% enriched uranium hidden elsewhere. If so.... dutch777 Jun 25 #2
Not to mention, Putin is talking about sending ready to go nucs next week. multigraincracker Jun 25 #4
Seems unlikely. He could have sent improved mobile air defense systems after IDF;s first raid and did nothing. dutch777 Jun 25 #9
Well dang. He should hold a victory parade next week. Be the biggest crowd in history. multigraincracker Jun 25 #3
Because you seethe effin planet is his reality Tv liefest malaise Jun 25 #8
There he stands. On the World Stage. With a full, shitty diaper. Stinky The Clown Jun 25 #10
Then he reaches into that shitty diaper with his little hands Martin Eden Jun 25 #13
"unbelievable victory" Martin Eden Jun 25 #12
I think "unbelievable" doesn't mean what he thinks it does. n/t Hugin Jun 25 #21
Trump disgraces the military Johonny Jun 25 #14
Of course. The real problem is the people who reported the truth. What scum! Jim__ Jun 25 #15
The OP showing just above this in "Latest" is "Senate Majority Leader John Thune Unable to Confirm Trump's Claim ..." eppur_se_muova Jun 25 #16
The problem is that Israel has its own intelligence and Iran knows what happened karynnj Jun 25 #18
A possible explanation of what went down and how two weeks became two days... Hugin Jun 25 #20
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Trump Lashes Out at 'Scum...»Reply #18