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OKIsItJustMe

(21,210 posts)
2. James Hansen, et al: "A Miracle Will Occur" Is Not Sensible Climate Policy
Mon Nov 18, 2024, 01:00 PM
Nov 2024
“A Miracle Will Occur” Is Not Sensible Climate Policy
07 December 2023

James Hansen, Pushker Kharecha, Makiko Sato

The COP28 Chairman and the United Nations Secretary General say that the goal to keep global warming below 1.5°C is alive, albeit barely, implying that the looser goal of the 2015 Paris Agreement (to keep warming well below 2°C) is still viable. We find that even the 2°C goal is dead if policy is limited to emission reductions and plausible CO₂ removal. IPCC (the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which advises the UN) has understated global warming in the pipeline and understated fossil fuel emissions in the pipeline via lack of realism in the Integrated Assessment Models that IPCC uses for climate projections. Wishful thinking as a policy approach must be replaced by transparent climate analysis, knowledge of the forcings that drive climate change, and realistic assessment of policy options. The next several years provide a narrow window of time to define actions that could still achieve a bright future for today’s young people. We owe young people the knowledge and the tools to continually assess the situation and devise and adjust the course of action.

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Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Environment & Energy»Oh Well!! UN 1.5C Goal "...»Reply #2