What Would a Harris Presidency Mean for the Climate?

[progree]

1. And a LOT of work is left to do: 83% of U.S. energy consumption in 2023 was fossil-fueled. Wind and solar: 2.6%

ENERGY CONSUMPTION SHARES, 2023: Totals 93.59 quadrillion BTUs. There is a pie chart breakdown of the components. The fossil share is 83%, nuclear is 9%, solar and wind combined is 2.6% and other renewables is 6.4%. The other renewables -- in descending order of size -- are biomass, hydroelectric, and geothermal)

U.S. total annual energy production has exceeded total annual energy consumption since 2019. In 2023, production was about 102.83 quads and consumption was 93.59 quads.

(Emphsis added. No explanation for the tiny 0.07 quad difference between this energy production figure of 102.83 quads and the below (next section) Table 1.2 value 102.76)

The Energy Consumption shares above is from the pie chart in https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/us-energy-facts/|us-energy-facts

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83.9% of U.S energy production is fossil fuel, while wind and solar combine to only 2.3% ughh:
EIA Table 1.2 in interactive: https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/browser/index.php?tbl=T01.02#/?f=A&start=200001
. . . in PDF: https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/pdf/sec1_5.pdf
TABLE 1.2 PRIMARY ENERGY PRODUCTION BY SOURCE

In 2023, in quadrillion BTUs: Fossil fuels: 86.2325, Nuclear: 8.1008, Wind+solar: 2.3284, Other: 6.0979, Total: 102.7597
So as percentages of total, I calculate:
Fossil: 83.9%, Nuclear: 7.9%, Wind+Solar: 2.3%, everything else: 5.9%, Total energy: 100%

I'll have to dig into the important details. For example (#1#) on fossil fuel production, does that include net exports?
(#2#) And how does one assess the production of a fossil-fueled fired electric power plant (or nuclear power plant), that converts only about 40% of the energy content of the fuel into electrical energy (throwing the other 60% away), as compared to wind and solar that convert these resources straight into electricity? I know some info resources that convert say the 1 TWH output of a wind farm by multiplying it by, say, (100%/40%)= 2.5 TWH of equivalent primary energy. Then they convert to BTU at the theoretically perfect 3412 BTU/KWH (3.412 BTU per watthour) with the result of 8.53 trillion BTUS (or 0.00853 quadrillion BTUs) of equivalent primary energy.

The footnotes on this page probably explains #2 above (where will have to click on some of the links in the footnotes and then read all that crap, but yes, it appears that they do something like what I described above)
. . . https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/us-energy-facts/

An Exajoule is 10^18 joules. An Exajoule is an SI unit of energy. To get the above quadrillion BTU numbers into Exajoules, multiply the above by 1.055056 EJ per quad. So, for example, the total energy 102.7597 quadrillion BTUs is 108.4172 Exajoules.

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Yesterday, I put this stuff at the bottom of the infamous post#3 in the Intersect Power thread, so its all together with the year-by-year U.S. power sector and U.S. totals stuff.