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Economy

progree

(11,774 posts)

4. Could be. We might have to wait 4 or more years until we have a sane administration

Reply to JohnSJ (Reply #1)

Thu Mar 13, 2025, 06:38 PM

Mar 13

I do believe the S&P 500 will set a new all-time high eventually, and then I will be well ahead of anyone who sold at 10% down, like today, or at 0% down for that matter.

Some people might want to wait until 30% or 40% or more down. I have no quarrel with someone who sets a lower threshold than 20% down.

I'd allocate more to stocks now if I thought this was "just a correction", rather than waiting for 20% down.

The post-WWII history is that the 3 biggest peak-to-valley plunges of the S&P 500 were 48% during '73-74, 49% during the dot-com crash, and 57% during the housing bubble crash. So yes, it could really be bad, and certainly years to recover. That's what long-term investing is all about.

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How often do stock market corrections occur (down more than 10% from recent high): Answer: every couple of years [View all] progree Mar 13 OP

Sorry, but this is the hogwash that wall street analysts have been spewing on the financial networks, along with this is JohnSJ Mar 13 #1

Could be. We might have to wait 4 or more years until we have a sane administration progree Mar 13 #4

Read the OP again. It does NOT call it only a correction. Easy for you to knock down the straw man you set up. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Mar 13 #6

I was NOT criticizing the OP, I was criticizing the analysts on the financial outlets pushing this as a normal JohnSJ Mar 13 #8

Cool, I'm fine with that. . . . .nt Bernardo de La Paz Mar 13 #10

I didn't word things right Bernardo. Thanks. JohnSJ Mar 13 #11

I may not have read as well as I usually do. No worries, you clarified and we understand each other. Thanks. .nt Bernardo de La Paz Mar 13 #12

the market is just a ponzi scheme run by the tRump crime family inside trades on tRump manipulating news. nt ImNotGod Mar 13 #2

No. That simplistic theory might satisfy inner rage, but it would lead to big money mistakes. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Mar 13 #7

All time highs last fall, tariff wars, political uncertainty, layoffs/budget cuts bucolic_frolic Mar 13 #3

Don't start buying based on an arbitrary figure. Use the charts Bernardo de La Paz Mar 13 #5

"When did the stock market NOT recover from a dip or dive" Bernardo de La Paz Mar 13 #9

One clarification - I don't do individual stocks. I'll be over-allocating with a broad-based fund like a U.S. total progree Mar 13 #13

Some numbers on corrections/bear markets in this video ... cliffside Mar 13 #14

It will be a while before I look at it because I'm way behind on my taxes, but quite possibly I might get motivated progree Mar 14 #16

Lol, me too on the tax front! Generally they are long videos and I do not always understand everything ... cliffside Mar 14 #17

Let's see if we bounce from here and whether or not it lasts ... cliffside Mar 13 #15