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The Bizarre Benefit of NATO Gridlock: How Ukraine Can Exploit a Short-Term Advantage - William Spaniel
Ukraine's pathway to NATO membership will take a long time. If we lived in an alternate universe where membership was immediate, then Ukraine would be in a much better position. However, there is a consolation prize to be had. The longer the expected wait to NATO membership, the better a deal Ukraine should be able to extract out of Russia in the present. This video explores the coercive -bargaining logic, with a healthy dose of lines on maps.
0:00 Ukraine's NATO Membership Bid
1:54 What Russia and Ukraine Are Really Fighting Over
6:50 The Current Strategic Environment
8:30 When Will Ukraine Be Able to Join NATO?
13:08 How Much Territory Can Ukraine Retain?
17:29 How the Trump Administration Should Handle Peace Talks