New York
Related: About this forumNate Silver: Mamdani could be vulnerable in general election 'in theory'
Nate Silver claimed that New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani could be vulnerable in the general election in theory.
As a New Yorker, Im not looking forward to the ads, but I am excited to cast a general election ballot that could actually matter, Silver said in a Substack newsletter Tuesday.
In theory, Zohran could be vulnerable. Whether you count his victory margin as 7 percent or 12 percent, thats extremely impressive for a candidate who started out polling as low as 1 percent in some surveys. But its also not an insurmountable margin. While slightly over a million votes were cast in the Democratic primary, New York City has 5.1 million registered voters.........
Silver said in his newsletter that in the case that turnout approaches the numbers that weve seen in recent midterms, let alone in presidential years, the November electorate will likely be a lot older than in the unusually youth-skewed primary, with voters who not only disagree with Mamdani on substance but also dont vibe with his style.
So while hes the favorite, hes not going to occupy Gracie Mansion without earning it, he added, referencing the New York City mayors residence.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5380591-nate-silver-mamdani-general-election/

elleng
(140,203 posts)NOT A THING! BYE, nate.
FSogol
(47,419 posts)
no_hypocrisy
(52,359 posts)1. Campaign donations
2. Campaign strategy and advertising
3. The other candidate doesn't f*ck up
OldBaldy1701E
(8,427 posts)He won despite their attempts to stop him and now they have to rally around him as the Democratic candidate.
Spoiler Alert: They don't want to.
So... watch for other 'hit pieces' from supposedly friendly quarters as the election approaches.