Comparing 2021 and 2025 NYC mayoral primary timelines
There are a lot of differences between the current primary and the 2021 Democratic mayoral race. For one, the seat isn’t open. New York City Mayor Eric Adams is running as an independent in the general election, forgoing the crowded primary. Still, be it Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s coveted endorsement or the release of the final Marist Institute for Public Policy Opinion poll, direct parallels can be drawn between some key recent developments and their counterparts in the 2021 primary. With that in mind, here’s a breakdown of what some of these things might mean.
THE FINAL MARIST POLL
2021 primary: On June 14, eight days from the primary, the final Marist poll dropped showing Adams beating Kathryn Garcia by 12 points in the final round of ranked-choice voting.
2025 primary: On June 18, six days from the primary, the latest Marist poll dropped showing former Gov. Andrew Cuomo beating Assembly Member Zohran Mamdani by 10 points in the final round of ranked choice voting.
What is the meaning of this? The final Marist poll in 2021 wasn’t exactly right on the money. Yes, Adams did win, but with a much narrower margin of the vote than predicted. He won 50.4% of the vote after the final round of ranked-choice voting to Garcia’s 49.6%. All that to say, things can move quickly and polls are rarely spot on. It’s also worth noting that a combined 22% of respondents for the 2025 Marist poll said that either they’d yet to decide who to vote for or that they weren’t going to rank Cuomo or Mamdani. These voters could prove critical for the two leading candidates in the waning days of the race.
https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2025/06/comparing-2021-and-2025-nyc-mayoral-primary-timelines/406183/?oref=csny-category-lander-featured-river
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