Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Trump leads Biden 50% to 32% WTF

[IA8IT]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/06/17/2024-election-donald-trump-vs-joe-biden-vs-robert-kennedy-jr-iowa-poll/74088665007/

Two weeks after he was convicted in a New York courtroom of multiple felony counts, former Republican president Donald Trump still holds a double-digit lead over Democratic incumbent Joe Biden in Iowa.

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Trump leads Biden 50% to 32% among likely voters.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who says he has qualified for Iowa’s presidential ballot, earns 9%. Another 2% of likely Iowa voters pick Libertarian presidential candidate Chase Oliver, 3% say they would vote for someone else, 1% would not vote and 3% are not sure.

[wryter2000]

1. In Iowa?

I can believe that.

[jimfields33]

5. Definitely. If it was Michigan, I'd be concerned.

Iowa wasn’t going to president Biden. Do a poll in California and you’ll see similar numbers for president Biden as lead

Personally, I think it’s a waste of money to do polls in iowa and quite frankly many other dark red and dark blue states.

[democratsruletheday]

6. Exactly....

Iowa is a shit hole state

[BuckIowa]

11. Politically, yes, I agree; otherwise, not so much.

[Lonestarblue]

2. Iowa went off the deep end ages ago.

They’re now the political evangelicals versus actual Christians.

[emulatorloo]

3. Trump caused Iowa to lose its fucking mind. Mass hypnosis? Koch bros put LSD in the water supply?

[JohnSJ]

4. I was born in Iowa. It has been screwed up for a long time before trump.

[progressoid]

10. Yeah, we have been sliding downward for years.

Trump just made it happen at a faster, more intense pace.

[IA8IT]

9. Con-radio and media saturation river to river. Fox Sinclair and Billionaires get their word out.

[Jilly_in_VA]

7. It's Iowa, folks

Don't get excited.

[Doodley]

8. Worrying. Result at last elrection: Trump 53.09% and Biden 44.89%

[progressoid]

12. Thanks for ruining my morning.

Just kidding. I live here so my morning is already ruined

I suppose there is one bright note in there:

Among likely voters who name a first-choice candidate, 67% say their minds are made up, while 29% say they can still be persuaded and 3% do not name a first-choice candidate.

Among Trump supporters, 76% say their minds are made up. Another 24% say they could still be persuaded.

Biden’s supporters are slightly more locked in, with 81% saying they are firm in their choice and 19% saying they could be persuaded.

Although the sample sizes are small, the number of supporters of other candidates who are not locked in is significant. Among Kennedy’s supporters, 82% say they could be persuaded. It’s 87% of Oliver’s supporters and 60% of those supporting someone else.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/donald-trump-maintains-big-lead-over-joe-biden-after-trump-s-conviction-iowa-poll-shows/ar-BB1omJJz?ocid=BingNewsSerp

But overall it is still depressing.

[Mawspam2]

13. Iowa. Where the State motto is...

Freedom to Flourish.

[FBaggins]

14. Re: all the "Hey.... we're talking about Iowa here folks!" posts

The same poll almost exactly four years ago showed Trump up by one point. Their final poll just before the election showed him up by 7 points. Trump ended up winning the state by eight points and the Des Moines Register was the only firm to call it correctly (the rest of the pack essentially calling the race a tossup).

So yes - It isn't a state that we were likely to win this time anyway... and yes, this is the only poll there so far this cycle... but 18 points is still massive.

[progressoid]

15. Yes it is massive.

People love to find excuses to dismiss the polls they don't like.

But we ignore these things at our peril.

[nealr]

16. unrecognizable

I haven't been home in a very long time, but since my mother has passed I'm not sure I ever will go back to Iowa. From what I read, it's become a sort of colder, flatter Alabama. Trump +18? When did the state that set the national standard for education completely lose its mind?