I'm not sure I'm ready to buy what he's selling.
Here's part 1 of this 12 part "lecture" if you want to sit through 12 hours of videos:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jiang_Xueqin
Predictive History
Jiang is the creator and principal lecturer of the YouTube channel Predictive History which he launched prior to 2024.[10]
The channel investigates whether a real-world version of psychohistory—see Cliodynamics—the fictional mathematical science of mass human behavior described in Isaac Asimov's Foundation series—is feasible through the study of recurring historical structures, game theory, and long-term pattern recognition.
His two main series are:
"Civilization", a series of more than 60 lectures tracing the narrative and ideological evolution of human societies from prehistory to the contemporary era, with particular emphasis on the unifying and mobilizing power of transcendent religious and civilizational belief systems.[11]
"Geo-Strategy", a series of lectures applying historical analogies to current great-power politics. Episode 8, The Iran Trap (recorded May 28–29, 2024), attracted international attention after several of its major predictions appeared to materialize in 2025 and 2026, including the re-election of Donald Trump and escalating U.S. involvement toward conflict with Iran.[12][4][13]
Jiang frequently draws on classical Western narrative traditions, including the Iliad, the tragedies of Aeschylus and Euripides, the career of Alexander the Great, Virgil's Aeneid, Dante's Divine Comedy, Jewish messianic thought, and Christian eschatology.[14]
Reception
While some media outlets have described Jiang's 2024 Iran lecture as remarkably prescient (occasionally calling him "China's Nostradamus" ),[15] others have criticized the predictions as relying on selective historical analogies, speculative game-theoretic reasoning, and untestable assumptions.[4]
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