New poll reveals who is leading the 2028 Democratic field in NH- and it's not Newsom

[riversedge]

yeah yeah--too early for polls--but I would really like to see Pete Buttigieg in the Dem race.

And OMG---although probably not surprising is that VANCE would be the Repug nominee!! I really think he is meaner than Trump!!


New poll reveals who is leading the 2028 Democratic field in New Hampshire - and it’s not Newsom Mike Bedigan


https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/poll-reveals-leading-2028-democratic-173326450.html


Tue, October 28, 2025 at 12:33 PM CDT

Generate Key Takeaways

Despite being a current frontrunner to lead the Democrats in the next presidential election, California Governor Gavin Newsom is not the current favorite to win the New Hampshire primary – the first that will take place in 2028.

Newsom occupies second place with 15 percent of voters choosing him as their preferred presidential candidate, losing out to former Transport Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who has 19 percent, according to a new poll.

...............


Joining Newsom and Buttigieg in the top three is New York congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who has 14 percent, according to a very early snapshot in the University of New Hampshire’s poll, which was released Monday.

On the other side of the political aisle, the poll shows that Vice President JD Vance currently leads other potential Republican candidates, with a commanding 51 percent of the vote. Former presidential hopeful Nikki Haley follows, with just 9 percent.....................................................

[SSJVegeta]

1. The frontrunner is AOC

Bernie is absolutely not going to run. He is way too old and has said over and over again he wont. I think it is reasonable to say all or most of his votes go to AOC.

Bernie shouldn't be included in any polls.

[Fiendish Thingy]

2. NH won't necessarily be first in 2028

Yeah, I know their constitution says the have to be, but DNC has other ideas.

None of the top three in the poll- Newsom, Pete or AOC- will be the 2028 nominee.

If AOC runs for another office, I hope it is Schumer’s senate seat.

Pete and his family have moved to Michigan, so I’m guessing he will run for governor - good for Michigan, and a good steppingstone for Pete for the future.

[leftstreet]

3. Has to be someone "outsider-y"

Not sure the spendy beltway consultants are telling their clients how much people truly hate politicians

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. It won't be

It will be a straight white male not named Shapiro or Newsom.

Right now, my sense is the donors will favor someone like Chris Murphy or Andy Beshear.

Murphy is probably the closest to an insider who looks like an “outsider” at times, that we can hope for.

[leftstreet]

6. Pritzker?

I mean I don't know - just wonder what you think

[Jack Valentino]

16. Oh, they WILL necessarily run their primary first, as they did in 2024---

but it *may not* be officially recognized as the "first primary" by the Democratic Party,
and I suspect that it won't be....

(Of course if the Democrats were able to gain a NH 'trifecta' and thus change that state law,
that would be a different thing...)

[TheProle]

7. Posted for funsies:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls/2028

[BannonsLiver]

8. Pretty solid footing for Newsom, which will only get better when/if the CA gerrymandering measure passes.

He will be in the pole position if that ends up being the difference in winning the House, too. Not offense intended to my Canadian friend, but I don't believe Beshear has the charisma to win the nomination. Murphy is an X factor, but a relative unknown. Would probably be better suited to round out a ticket as a VP candidate.

[JBTaurus83]

9. I still think

Beshear has an excellent shot at being the nominee.

[Johonny]

10. I assume Laura Loomer or Tucker Carlson

Will blow Vance out of the water in what will almost certainly be a looney off...

[multigraincracker]

11. I like Gov. Whitmer.

Met her once and she remembers my name 6 months later.
Might get in her cabinet.

[Jack Valentino]

17. Gov. Whitmer has repeatedly denied and disavowed any plans or inclinations to run

for President in 2028, and I believe her.

[regnaD kciN]

12. I can't think of anything less significant...

…than a NH presidential preference poll more than two years before the election, particularly in the current political chaos.

We’ll know a lot more after the midterms (including if we’re likely to even have a 2028 presidential election ).

[lame54]

13. No...

We don't need another 3 year campaign

[WarGamer]

14. Give me a magic wand and I'd make Pete POTUS.

Newsom will have problems in the Rust Belt.

[BannonsLiver]

15. That's what it would take with this country's electorate.

[Jack Valentino]

18. Seems like ANY Democrat would 'have problems in the Rust belt'---- but

coming in the wake of the Trump 2.0 backlash,
seems like those 'problems' would be much less than
under more 'normal' times and circumstances....

[fujiyamasan]

19. Pete B is great

He’s telegenic, intelligent, and a great speaker. I might even go as far as believing he can get past the homophobia. But a mayor of a small town and transportation secretary does not (imo), a president make.

I think he should prove he can win statewide somewhere. I’d be more sold on him then.

I wish he would’ve been given a more cabinet post like Secretary of State. It might have raised his profile.